Oscar Predictions: Best Original Score — Will ‘Blitz’ Bring Hans Zimmer Another Nomination?

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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2025 Oscars Predictions:
Best Original Score

“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)

Weekly Commentary (Updated Nov. 14, 2024): Warner Bros.’ “Dune: Part Two,” directed by Denis Villeneuve, was met with critical acclaim when it hit theaters in March. Both critics and audiences lauded the film’s visuals, storytelling, and, most notably, the music score by Academy Award-winning composer Hans Zimmer. However, Zimmer’s powerful and evocative score for the sci-fi epic is not eligible to be submitted for this year’s Oscars due to surpassing the Academy’s limit on pre-existing music; therefore, it cannot be nominated in the best original score category.

The Academy’s rule states: “In cases such as sequels and franchises from any media, the score must not use more than 20% of pre-existing themes and music borrowed from previous scores in the franchise.” Since Zimmer’s composition for “Dune: Part Two” incorporates substantial elements from his work on 2021’s “Dune,” it falls outside of the eligibility criteria.

However, Zimmer’s work on “Dune 2” remains in contention to be recognized by other awards bodies, including the Critics Choice Awards, Golden Globes, BAFTA, and even the Grammys. Additionally, Zimmer’s score for Steve McQueen’s upcoming World War II drama “Blitz” remains eligible, providing the composer another shot at Academy recognition this year. Zimmer and McQueen have previously collaborated on “Widows” and the best picture winner “12 Years a Slave.”

This latest development adds “Dune: Part Two” to a growing list of exceptional film scores deemed ineligible for Oscar consideration by the Academy’s Music Branch. Other notable examples include Jóhann Jóhannsson’s score for “Arrival” (2016), Cliff Martinez’s work in “Drive” (2011), and Clint Mansell’s music in “Black Swan” (2010). One of the most egregious examples involves composer Jonny Greenwood, whose work on “There Will Be Blood” (2007) and “The Master” (2012) was also disqualified from the Oscars. Interestingly, however, composing legend John Williams has found himself nominated multiple times for sequels and franchise films, including six “Star Wars” films, two for “Harry Potter,” and four for the “Indiana Jones” series.

Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.

The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. The full rankings are below. All movie listings, titles, distributors, and credited producers are not final and are subject to change.

** denotes the film is not yet dated or can open in 2025.

Read: You can see all Academy Award predictions in all 23 categories on one page on the Variety Awards Circuit: Oscars.

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